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DTN Midday Grain Comments 03/20 10:47
Corn Futures Higher at Midday; Soybeans Mixed; Wheat Lower
Corn futures are 4 to 5 cents higher at midday Thursday; soybean futures are
narrowly mixed; wheat futures are 3 to 7 cents lower.
David M. Fiala
DTN Contributing Analyst
MARKET SUMMARY:
Corn futures are 4 to 5 cents higher at midday Thursday; soybean futures are
narrowly mixed; wheat futures are 3 to 7 cents lower. The U.S. stock market is
firmer with the S&P 18 points higher. The U.S. Dollar Index is 50 points
higher. The interest rate products are firmer. Energy trade is mixed with crude
1.20 higher with natural gas .18 lower. Livestock trade is mixed. Precious
metals are mixed with gold up 7.00.
CORN:
Corn futures are 4 to 5 cents higher at midday with trade pressing back
toward the upper end of the recent range with firmer spread action so far.
Ethanol margins should stay rangebound in the short term with corn and unleaded
also rangebound. Weekly export sales were strong at 1.497 million metric tons
(mmt) of old crop and 61,400 metric tons (mt) of new. Basis is expected to firm
a bit more into early April. Double-crop planting in Brazil is heading toward
the homestretch. On the May chart, the 20-day moving average at $4.70 is
resistance with the recent low at $4.42 1/4 as support.
SOYBEANS:
Soybean futures are narrowly mixed at midday with trade drifting along with
little change to the product complex and little other fresh news to drive
action. Meal is flat to 1.00 lower and oil was flat to 10 points lower. South
America has little change expected in the near-term weather patterns as harvest
progresses in line with the recent average. Weekly export sales were soft at
352,600 mt of old-crop beans, 182,200 mt of meal, and 34,200 of oil. Basis is
expected to remain flat into the end of the month. On the May chart, trade has
resistance at the 20-day moving average at $10.21 with the recent low at $9.91
as support.
WHEAT:
Wheat futures were 3 to 7 cents lower at midday with trade fading back to
support levels with the stronger dollar limiting upside with further fresh news
needed to drive action. Normal to slightly above temps with better moisture
potential for the second week are forecast for the Plains into April. MATIF
wheat is a bit lower to start after strong gains Wednesday. Weekly export sales
showed -248,800 mt of old crop and 491,900 mt of new. On the KC May chart,
support is the 20-day moving average at $5.82, which we have tested Thursday
morning, with the next level of resistance the Upper Bollinger Band at $6.23.
David Fiala can be reached at dfiala@futuresone.com
Follow him on social platform X @davidfiala
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